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Update: October 30, 2021

Climate Weather Forecasts for 2030, 2040 and 2050 & the Reasons for Them!


header image credit: Hillsborough County Sherrif’s Office

What’s New

Welcome to our newest conference sponsor – Afina International!

The final list of panelists is included in the Conference Program below. We are grateful to everyone donating their time to help make this event a success!

Our new CAC Membership Program has launched! Among other benefits, Members can attend the annual conference for free. If you are thinking of making a donation to help support the CAC, consider becoming a CAC Member!

And finally, some big news! We’re nearly sold out of tickets for the in-person event at the USF Sarasota-Manatee campus, but we’re happy to announce that we will be able to offer livestream online access to the conference for anyone who is unable to attend. The terrific staff of USFSM are pulling out the stops to make it possible for us to offer realtime video access to the event. Both online livestream and in-person event tickets are available at the following link:

Conference registration is now open! Tickets are available here.


About the Conference

The Climate Adaptation Center is excited to announce a unique in-person event — our first-ever Florida Climate Forecast Conference! Focusing on Florida’s west coast, the CAC will gaze into our crystal ball to forecast what our climate could look like in 2030, 2040 and 2050.

The event will be held November 19th, 2021, at the University of South Florida Sarasota-Manatee campus. Tickets are on sale! Up to date information about the conference, including the program, venue, and how to purchase your tickets can be found in our Upcoming Events section. Our first conference was a sell-out success and this conference is shaping up to be another hit!

This first annual CAC Florida Climate Forecast Conference will discuss issues of great importance for those of us on Florida’s west coast, including:

  • Hurricanes: how often and how dangerous?
  • Sea Level Rise: how much and how quickly?
  • Red Tide: will it become a new normal?
  • Seasonal Temperatures: day and night temperature trends
  • Unlikely but high impact events: are the risks of extreme events increasing?
  • Economics: financial risk and opportunity in a changing climate

Experts will discuss climate forecasts for 2030, 2040 and 2050 and how they were developed. The forecasts will be informative, understandable and useful, in a format not unlike daily weather forecasts. At the CAC, we think of these forecasts as the first operational climate forecasts for our region.

CAC’s first Florida Climate Forecast Conference is a prototype for next generation regional climate forecasts going forward. Our annually updated forecasts will provide decision-making guidance for individuals, businesses and governments.

The 2021 Florida Climate Forecast Conference is made possible by the generous support of our sponsors: the University of South Florida Sarasota-Manatee, Cumberland Advisors, the Global Interdependence Center, Sarasota Magazine, the Gulf Coast Community Foundation, Triangle Ranch, Tommy’s Express Car Wash, Best Weather, Climate First Bank, Afina International, and Atlas Insurance.



Gulf Coast Community Foundation     triangle ranch         Atlas Insurance Tommys Express Car Wash   Best Weather Inc.AFINA

2021 Florida Climate Forecast Conference Program


8:00 a.m. – Join us for a continental breakfast

830 a.m. – Welcome and Why Are We Here? Bob Bunting, CEO, Climate Adaptation Center

Introduction of Conference Sponsors and opening welcoming remarks by Dr. Karen Holbrook, Chancellor, USF Sarasota-Manatee, David Kotok, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, Cumberland Advisors, and William Kennedy, Vice Chair of Programs, Global Interdependence Center.

Session 1 – Is climate warming affecting extreme events in the CAC focus areas of hurricanes, sea level rise, biodiversity, red tide/algal blooms, and human health? What is the Climate Weather Forecast for 2030, 2040 and 2050 for our area?

Moderator: Rick Newman – Senior Columnist, Yahoo Finance

8:45 a.m. — What we know is enough to allow climate weather forecasting and related societal action. The role of attribution science. Dr. Bob Corell, University of Miami and Director, Climate Adaptation Center

9:30 a.m. — Forecasting Florida’s Future Climate: Part 1 – The Global Picture of Climate Warming Today. Bob Bunting, CEO, Climate Adaptation Center

10:10 a.m. — Break

10:30 — Forecasting Florida’s Future Climate: Part 2 – The Climate Weather Forecast for 2030, 2040 and 2050

11:15 a.m. — Possible Feedbacks Between Economic Impacts of Climate Warming. Dr. Matt Burgess, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES)/University of Colorado, Boulder

Noon — Buffet Lunch on the USFSM patio.

12:45 p.m. Keynote Address — Clean electrification, getting to Net-Zero, and pitfalls: Why we are not trading one problem for another. Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Senior Resident Fellow for Climate and Energy Program, Third Way; former Chief Economist, U.S. Department of Commerce; former Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company

Session 2Government, private and academic sectors: In light of the climate forecast for our region, what they will do and how they will work together to take action?

1:30 p.m. — Government/Sustainability Panel Discussion
Moderator: Chris Castro, Sustainability Manager, City of Orlando

How will the government sector plan, begin and scale up mitigation efforts to minimize the worst impacts of climate warming. How will governments interact across the region and with the private and academic sectors to accelerate climate adaptation and mitigation efforts in a cost effective, efficient way.


  • Whit Remer, Sustainability Manager, City of Tampa
  • Sara Kane, Sustainability Program Supervisor, Sarasota County UF/IFAS Extension and Sustainability
  • Dr. T.H. Culhane, Director of Climate Change and Sustainability, Patel College of Global Sustainability, USF

2:15 p.m. — Academic Panel Discussion
Moderator: Bob Bunting, CAC

In light of the forecast, how will the academic sector target new initiatives to expand our knowledge of climate warming impacts; train the new workforce for the climate economy; and assist the government and private sectors in mitigation actions? How will the academic sector interact with the other sectors to unleash the Climate Economy through innovation & entrepreneurship?


  • Dr. Karen Holbrook, Regional Chancellor, USF Sarasota-Manatee
  • Dr. Robert Corell, University of Miami
  • Dr. Matt Burgess, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder

2:45 p.m. — Break

3:00 p.m. — Private Sector Finance Panel Discussion
Moderator: David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors

Given the forecast, how will the financial industry (as part of the private sector) drive the unprecedented level of investment needed to finance climate warming mitigation and to enhance adaptation efforts — both globally and regionally.


  • John Mousseau, CEO, Cumberland Advisors
  • Bill Kennedy, CIO, RiskBridge Advisors
  • Henry Smyth, CIO, Granville Cooper Gold Fund and Director, New College Foundation
  • Steve Guijarro, US Chief Risk Officer & Group Head of Exposure Management, Ascot Group

3:45 p.m.— Joint Panel Discussion, All Sectors
ModeratorDr. Stuart Waterman, CAC

How will all three sectors work together to create new connections, more frequent collaborations and regional joint action for climate adaptation and mitigation?


  • David Kotok, CIO, Cumberland Advisors
  • Chris Castro, Sustainability Manager, City of Orlando
  • Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Senior Resident Fellow, Climate and Energy Program, Third Way
  • Dr. Greg Smogard, Assistant Vice-President, Innovation and Business Development, USF Sarasota-Manatee

4:30 p.m. — Bringing it all together: Causality, Attribution, Scaling and Action!  Dr. Bob Corell

4:45 p.m. — Final words and what comes next!  Bob Bunting

4:55 p.m. — Sponsors’ Goodbye

5:00 p.m. — Adjourn

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